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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio logo

Roma
0 - 1
Lazio


Mancini (8'), Patricio (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (29')
Lazzari (25'), Vecino (50'), Radu (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Roma 2-1 Lazio

 The Derby della Capitale has seen more red cards than any other fixture in Serie A since the turn of the century, yet there has been just one dismissal in the six most recent meetings between Lazio and Roma. With so much at stake, a more ill-tempered encounter could break out, which might suit the Giallorossi more as Mourinho's pragmatism trumps 'Sarrisimo' again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawLazio
53.78% (0.374 0.37) 23.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 22.3% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 52.13% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.029000000000003 0.03)48.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)70.92% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.152 0.15)18.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (0.259 0.26)48.99% (-0.256 -0.26)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (-0.259 -0.26)36.37% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (-0.264 -0.26)73.16% (0.265 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Roma 53.77%
    Lazio 22.3%
    Draw 23.92%
RomaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: Roma vs Lazio

Roma
77.0%
Draw
13.8%
Lazio
9.2%
196
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Roma
3-0
Lazio
Abraham (1', 22'), Pellegrini (40')
Karsdorp (48'), Mancini (53'), Zalewski (73'), Oliveira (78')

Pedro (43'), Patric (44'), Leiva (61')
Sep 26, 2021 5pm
Lazio
3-2
Roma
Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')
Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')
May 15, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Lazio
Mkhitaryan (42'), Pedro (78')
Peres (16'), Santon (47')

Acerbi (23')
Acerbi (87')
Jan 15, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
3-0
Roma
Immobile (14'), Alberto (23', 67')
Milinkovic-Savic (11'), Radu (20'), Acerbi (45+3'), Felipe (62'), Leiva (63')

Mancini (34'), Smalling (60'), Pedro (71'), Mkhitaryan (90')
Jan 26, 2020 5pm
Roma
1-1
Lazio
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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