Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma3 - 1Ludogorets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Roma
Monday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Monday, October 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ludogorets 0-1 Betis
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Roma 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad
While Ludogorets pose a significant threat back in Bulgaria - as evidenced in Roma's defeat there earlier this term - they do not tend to travel well; making them susceptible to a last-day defeat. Their hosts have enough guile in their Conference League-winning squad - and experience on the bench - to get the job done, but it could be a close-run thing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.19%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
65.25% ( -0.29) | 22.15% ( -0.01) | 12.59% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 39.07% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% ( 0.57) | 56.39% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( 0.45) | 77.41% ( -0.46) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( 0.1) | 16.71% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.39% ( 0.18) | 46.61% ( -0.19) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.92% ( 0.84) | 53.08% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.29% ( 0.52) | 86.7% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 65.24%
Ludogorets Razgrad 12.59%
Draw 22.15%
| Roma | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 1-0 @ 15.87% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 14.19% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 65.24% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.59% |
How you voted: Roma vs Ludogorets
Roma
86.3%Draw
8.5%Ludogorets Razgrad
5.2%212
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
