Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 2
Betis

Dybala (34' pen.)
Mancini (71')
Zaniolo (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodriguez (40'), Henrique (88')
Felipe (30'), Guardado (33'), Bravo (32'), Pezzella (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Roma
Saturday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Betis

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Real Betis
Sunday, October 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Made of sterner stuff on home soil, Roma can hold their Group C rivals to a score draw this week; teeing up an intriguing return fixture in Seville. Both teams offer a distinct threat going forward, but the tactical battle between Mourinho and Pellegrini may well end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Real Betis
54.16% ( -0.46)	25.25% ( 0.09)	20.59% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 46.01% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23% (

0.1)

55.77% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1% (

0.08)

76.9% (

-0.08)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4% (

-0.15)

20.6% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85% (

-0.24)

53.14% (

0.23)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.95% (

0.47)

42.05% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.52% (

0.4)

78.48% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Roma 54.16%

Real Betis 20.59%

Draw 25.24%

Roma	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.59%