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Europa League
Real Betis logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarín
Ludogorets

Real Betis
3 - 2
Ludogorets

Henrique (25'), Joaquin (39'), Canales (59')
Ruibal (45'), Akouokou (47'), Pellegrini (72'), Guardado (74'), Bravo (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Despodov (45+1'), Rick (74')
Cafumana (2'), Despodov (42'), Tekpetey (53'), Nedyalkov (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Betis and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

Last Six:
Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Six:
    Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
    Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

    We said: Real Betis 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad

     Ludogorets should not be underestimated after their win over Roma, but as favourites, Real Betis will still fancy their chances of claiming all three points. The hosts have an impressive home record at the group stages and we can see them coming away from Thursday's fixture with a slender victory. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 14.68%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

    Result
    Real BetisDrawLudogorets Razgrad
    62.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 14.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Both teams to score 43.29% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    46.39% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)53.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    24.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)75.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
    Real Betis Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.45%16.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    53.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    51.87% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.13% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    16.67% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)83.32% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
    Score Analysis
        Real Betis 62.87%
        Ludogorets Razgrad 14.68%
        Draw 22.43%
    Real BetisDrawLudogorets Razgrad
    1-0 @ 14.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-0 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    3-0 @ 7.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    4-0 @ 3.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    5-0 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
    5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 1.69%
    Total : 62.87%
    		1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 0.55%
    Total : 22.43%
    		0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
    1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 1.96%
    Total : 14.68%

    How you voted: Real Betis vs Ludogorets

    Real Betis
    80.9%
    Draw
    9.2%
    Ludogorets Razgrad
    9.9%
    141
    rhs 2.0
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