Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Benito Villamarín

Real Betis
3 - 2
Ludogorets

Henrique (25'), Joaquin (39'), Canales (59')
Ruibal (45'), Akouokou (47'), Pellegrini (72'), Guardado (74'), Bravo (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Despodov (45+1'), Rick (74')
Cafumana (2'), Despodov (42'), Tekpetey (53'), Nedyalkov (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Real Betis and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Betis

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Betis 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	5	14	13
3	Real Betis	5	5	12
4	Osasuna	5	4	12

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Six:

Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Real Betis 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad

Ludogorets should not be underestimated after their win over Roma, but as favourites, Real Betis will still fancy their chances of claiming all three points. The hosts have an impressive home record at the group stages and we can see them coming away from Thursday's fixture with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real Betis	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
62.88% ( 0.02)	22.44% ( -0)	14.68% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.29% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39% (

-0.02)

53.61% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89% (

-0.02)

75.11% (

0.02)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.45%

16.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.68% (

-0)

46.32% (

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.87% (

-0.03)

48.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.67% (

-0.03)

83.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Real Betis 62.87%

Ludogorets Razgrad 14.68%

Draw 22.43%

Real Betis	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 62.87%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.43%	0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.68%