Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
Ludogorets1 - 0Zalgiris
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 FK Zalgiris
Ludogorets know that they must capitalise on playing in front of their fans if they are to be in the driving seat of the tie ahead of next week's return leg. We are backing them to get the job done come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
32.82% ( 0.1) | 25.31% ( 0.02) | 41.87% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.04) | 47.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.04) | 69.92% ( 0.04) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.04) | 27.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.76% ( 0.05) | 63.24% ( -0.05) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.07) | 22.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.11) | 56.35% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Ludogorets Razgrad 32.82%
FK Zalgiris 41.87%
Draw 25.3%
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.87% |
How you voted: Ludogorets vs Zalgiris
Ludogorets Razgrad
80.2%Draw
6.2%FK Zalgiris
13.6%81
Form Guide
