Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 25, 2022 at 5pm UK

LFF Stadium

Zalgiris
3 - 3
Ludogorets

(Ludogorets Razgrad win 4-3 on aggregate)

Ourega (1'), Buff (16'), Oliveira (63')
Ourega (11'), Kyeremeh (89'), Pavelic (90+2'), Ljubisavljevic (97'), Kuklys (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Tissera (8', 57'), Verdon (120' pen.)
Tissera (1'), Cicinho (11'), Tekpetey (31'), Piotrowski (40'), Nedyalkov (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FK Zalgiris and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 18 at 6.45pm in Europa League

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 18 at 6.45pm in Europa League

We say: FK Zalgiris 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad (Ludogorets Razgrad to win 2-1 on aggregate)

In what is set to be an all-or-nothing affair, we expect an absorbing contest with both teams going at each other over the course of the 90 minutes. However, we are tipping a share of the spoils here with the away side going through on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
47.04% ( -0.34)	25.82% ( -0)	27.13% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

0.23)

52.48% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

0.2)

74.15% (

-0.19)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

-0.06)

22.3% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24% (

-0.09)

55.76% (

0.09)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.84% (

0.4)

34.16% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.15% (

0.43)

70.85% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 47.04%

Ludogorets Razgrad 27.13%

Draw 25.82%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.04%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.13%