Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
2 - 1
Ludogorets

(Ludogorets Razgrad win 4-2 on aggregate)

Greene (21'), Emakhu (88')
Finn (64'), Towell (66'), Greene (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oliveira Souza (90+1')
Cafumana (24'), Tekpetey (39'), Santana (50'), Rick (55')
Cafumana (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Drogheda
Saturday, July 23 at 2pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	24	23	52
2	Dundalk	24	19	45
3	Derry City	23	18	43

Ludogorets Razgrad

Last Six:

Last Game: Ludogorets 3-0 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 19 at 6.45pm in Champions League

We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad

Shamrock will still believe that they are capable of turning the tie around, but it is very difficult to imagine that happening considering the strength of their opponent. The hosts might end up only playing for pride, but we are expecting Ludogorets to also win the second leg on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
35.85% ( 0.31)	24.16% ( -0.01)	39.99% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 60.72% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22% (

0.09)

41.78% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81% (

0.09)

64.19% (

-0.08)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

0.21)

23.11% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03% (

0.3)

56.97% (

-0.3)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

-0.11)

21.03% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18% (

-0.17)

53.82% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 35.85%

Ludogorets Razgrad 39.99%

Draw 24.16%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 39.99%