Malmo suffered a surprise defeat against Zalgiris last week, with the first-leg loss the only game in their last 10 across all competitions in which they have failed to score. Even though the visitors are in fine form, the hosts will be the firm favourites to win on Wednesday and they should have enough quality in their side to turn the tie around and book their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Malmo	Draw	FK Zalgiris
51.15% ( -0.13)	24.51% ( 0.02)	24.34% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.67% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73% (

0.01)

49.27% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67% (

0.01)

71.33% (

-0)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.05)

19.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

-0.08)

50.99% (

0.09)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24% (

0.11)

34.76% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.51% (

0.11)

71.49% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Malmo 51.14%

FK Zalgiris 24.34%

Draw 24.51%

Malmo	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.14%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.34%