Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
4 - 0
Roma

Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')
Udogie (62'), Makengo (66'), Pereyra (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dybala (45'), Mourinho (45+1'), Pellegrini (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Torino	4	0	7
9	Udinese	4	0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	0	6

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Monza
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Atalanta BC	4	5	10
4	Roma	4	5	10
5	Juventus	5	5	9

Though it is tempting to think Roma may take their eye off the ball between midweek action and the start of their European adventure, such is their squad depth this season that they can still pick up points by turning to their bench. Udinese will run them close, but may end up empty-handed at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Roma
29.15% ( -0.33)	25.88% ( -0.19)	44.97% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41% (

0.62)

51.59% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

0.54)

73.38% (

-0.53)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.08)

32.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.09)

68.62% (

-0.08)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

0.52)

22.88% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

0.76)

56.63% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Udinese 29.15%

Roma 44.96%

Draw 25.88%

Udinese	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.15%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.96%