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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Roma logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
Roma

Dawidowicz (27')
Ceccherini (20'), Hongla (71'), Hien (81')
Dawidowicz (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
Cristante (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Roma
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Roma

We can envisage Roma earning a narrow victory against Verona on Monday, with Mourinho's men likely to be a little fatigued after their exploits in Finland on Thursday. Verona have scored in each of their last five defeats so it would be little surprise to see them do so once again here, but the visitors should have too much in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawRoma
19.37% (0.422 0.42) 22.23% (0.184 0.18) 58.4% (-0.614 -0.61)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (-0.186 -0.19)45.32% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (-0.18 -0.18)67.66% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.349 0.35)37.33% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.344 0.34)74.12% (-0.349 -0.35)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.265 -0.27)15.2% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (-0.498 -0.5)43.84% (0.49100000000001 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 19.37%
    Roma 58.39%
    Draw 22.23%
Hellas VeronaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.37%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 58.39%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Roma

Hellas Verona
9.2%
Draw
9.6%
Roma
81.1%
228
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 5pm
Roma
2-2
Hellas Verona
Volpato (65'), Bove (84')
Pellegrini (38'), Oliveira (39'), Karsdorp (69')
Mourinho (90+1')
Barak (5'), Tameze (20')
Casale (16'), Gunter (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Hellas Verona
3-2
Roma
Barak (49'), Caprari (54'), Faraoni (63')
Faraoni (30'), Barak (51'), Hongla (83'), Casale (86')
Pellegrini (36'), Ilic (58' og.)
Veretout (18'), Cristante (71')
Jan 31, 2021 7.45pm
Sep 19, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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