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Europa League
HJK logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Sonera Stadium
Roma logo

HJK Helsinki
1 - 2
Roma

Hetemaj (54')
Halme (34'), Abubakari (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abraham (41'), Hoskonen (62' og.)
Mancini (22'), Patricio (82'), Spinazzola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 KuPS
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Roma

 In cold conditions, on an artificial pitch, injury-hit Roma are not likely to hit top form following a few unconvincing performances. However, they have enough experience and guile within their squad - and on the touchline - to ensure a repeat of their humbling away to Nordic opposition last year is avoided; a single-goal win could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawRoma
25.86% (-0.222 -0.22) 23.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 50.53% (0.246 0.25)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.94% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)44.06% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)66.44% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)30.7% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (-0.25 -0.25)66.95% (0.249 0.25)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (0.065999999999988 0.07)17.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (0.115 0.12)48.01% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 25.86%
    Roma 50.53%
    Draw 23.61%
HJK HelsinkiDrawRoma
2-1 @ 6.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.74% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.07% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.53%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Roma

HJK Helsinki
8.0%
Draw
14.1%
Roma
77.9%
163
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Roma
3-0
HJK Helsinki
Dybala (47'), Pellegrini (49'), Belotti (68')

Tenho (14')
rhs 2.0
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