Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Sonera Stadium

HJK Helsinki
1 - 2
Roma

Hetemaj (54')
Halme (34'), Abubakari (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abraham (41'), Hoskonen (62' og.)
Mancini (22'), Patricio (82'), Spinazzola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 KuPS
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Roma

In cold conditions, on an artificial pitch, injury-hit Roma are not likely to hit top form following a few unconvincing performances. However, they have enough experience and guile within their squad - and on the touchline - to ensure a repeat of their humbling away to Nordic opposition last year is avoided; a single-goal win could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Roma
25.86% ( -0.22)	23.61% ( -0.02)	50.53% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 57.17% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.94% (

-0.07)

44.06% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.56% (

-0.07)

66.44% (

0.07)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

-0.21)

30.7% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

-0.25)

66.95% (

0.25)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

0.07)

17.51% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98% (

0.12)

48.01% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 25.86%

Roma 50.53%

Draw 23.61%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.86%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.53%