Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki1 - 1Ludogorets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Inter Turku
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Real Betis 3-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad
HJK will be regarded as slight underdogs heading into Thursday's fixture and the pressure is on them to claim maximum points for the first time in Group C. Meanwhile, Ludogorets can boost their chances of advancing from the group with a victory here, and we can see them coming out on top, especially if they produce a similar performance in Finland as they did in their victory over Roma. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
47.3% ( -0.03) | 22.46% ( -0.05) | 30.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.82% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( 0.29) | 35.51% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.32) | 57.56% ( -0.31) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( 0.1) | 15.49% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.18) | 44.37% ( -0.17) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( 0.2) | 23.31% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.75% ( 0.28) | 57.25% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
HJK Helsinki 47.3%
Ludogorets Razgrad 30.24%
Draw 22.46%
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.24% |
How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Ludogorets
HJK Helsinki
31.7%Draw
14.2%Ludogorets Razgrad
54.2%120
Form Guide
