Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 1
Ludogorets

Hetemaj (55')
Hostikka (51'), Raitala (58'), Boujellab (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tissera (10')
Piotrowski (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Inter Turku
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Ludogorets Razgrad

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Real Betis 3-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Honka	44	2.10	Sadiku
2	VPS	39	1.86	Multanen
3	Inter Turku	36	1.71	Kallman
4	Haka	35	1.67	Erwin
5	KuPS	35	1.67	Vayrynen
6	HJK Helsinki	32	1.52	Radulovic
7	Ilves	30	1.43	Pennanen
8	Oulu	30	1.43	Lopez
9	SJK	29	1.38	Kaukua
10	Mariehamn	23	1.10	Cledson
11	Lahti	19	0.90	Chinedu
12	HIFK	14	0.67	Markkanen

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad

HJK will be regarded as slight underdogs heading into Thursday's fixture and the pressure is on them to claim maximum points for the first time in Group C. Meanwhile, Ludogorets can boost their chances of advancing from the group with a victory here, and we can see them coming out on top, especially if they produce a similar performance in Finland as they did in their victory over Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
47.3% ( -0.03)	22.46% ( -0.05)	30.24% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 64.82% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.49% (

0.29)

35.51% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.45% (

0.32)

57.56% (

-0.31)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.51% (

0.1)

15.49% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63% (

0.18)

44.37% (

-0.17)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.7% (

0.2)

23.31% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

0.28)

57.25% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 47.3%

Ludogorets Razgrad 30.24%

Draw 22.46%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.3%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.24%