Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

Ljudski vrt

Maribor
0 - 2
HJK Helsinki

(HJK Helsinki win 3-0 on aggregate)

Mitrovic (53'), Repas (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Browne (47'), Radulovic (64')
Browne (37'), Vaananen (38'), Abubakari (60')

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Maribor
Tuesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Maribor	Draw	HJK Helsinki
45.42%	27.28% ( -0.01)	27.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.16% (

0.04)

57.83% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44% (

0.03)

78.56% (

-0.03)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

0.02)

25.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

0.03)

60.21% (

-0.03)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

0.03)

36.91% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

0.03)

73.7% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Maribor 45.41%

HJK Helsinki 27.3%

Draw 27.27%

Maribor	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.41%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.3%