Despite not being the favourites on paper, HJK Helsinki have enjoyed regular competitive football over the past few weeks, while Viktoria Plzen may be feeling somewhat deflated after an underwhelming end to pre-season. Nevertheless, the importance of Hejda and Kasa's returns to the visitors' backline cannot be understated, and Bilek's side should have what it takes to claim a slender advantage at the Bolt Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
45.35% ( -0.02)	24.4% ( -0.01)	30.24% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.29% (

0.05)

44.71% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

0.05)

67.07% (

-0.05)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

0.02)

19.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

0.02)

51.93% (

-0.02)

Viktoria Plzen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

0.04)

27.87% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

0.05)

63.47% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 45.35%

Viktoria Plzen 30.24%

Draw 24.4%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Viktoria Plzen
2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 45.35%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.24%