Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
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