Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 5pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 0
Maribor

(HJK Helsinki win 3-0 on aggregate)

Hostikka (54')
Radulovic (10'), Browne (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Repas (14'), Mitrovic (21'), Antolin (84'), Karic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Maribor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

Last Six:

Last Game: Maribor 0-2 HJK Helsinki
Thursday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Europa League

We said: HJK Helsinki 2-1 Maribor

While Maribor will look to mount a memorable comeback, they have struggled to get going in recent weeks, losing each of their last four games across all competitions. We are backing the home side to pick up where they dropped off in the first leg and make use of their home advantage to claim a slender second-leg victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Maribor
41.02% ( -0.01)	23.4% ( -0)	35.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88% (

0.02)

38.12% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61% (

0.02)

60.39% (

-0.02)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.44% (

50.55% (

-0)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

0.02)

21.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

0.02)

54.68% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 41.02%

Maribor 35.57%

Draw 23.4%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Maribor
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 41.02%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.57%