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Europa League
Ludogorets
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
HJK logo

Ludogorets
2 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Gruper (38'), Rick (64')
Cicinho (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Browne (34'), Raitala (55'), Terho (73'), Hetemaj (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Haka 0-1 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, October 9 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HJK Helsinki

 The two sides were forced to share the spoils in last week's contest and another tight affair is to be expected on Thursday. HJK will be hoping that their title triumph over the weekend can spur them on to a positive result in Bulgaria, but we can see Ludogorets edging out their Finnish counterparts on home soil to boost their hopes of reaching the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 37.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawHJK Helsinki
38.07% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 24.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 37.89% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.31% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)41.08% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)63.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)21.65% (0.081999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.119 -0.12)54.78% (0.126 0.13)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.92% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 38.07%
    HJK Helsinki 37.89%
    Draw 24.04%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.07%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs HJK Helsinki

Ludogorets Razgrad
73.4%
Draw
18.8%
HJK Helsinki
7.8%
64
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
Group C
HJK Helsinki
1-1
Ludogorets
Hetemaj (55')
Hostikka (51')
Tissera (10')
rhs 2.0
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