Ludogorets2 - 0HJK Helsinki
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Sunday, October 9 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
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We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HJK Helsinki
The two sides were forced to share the spoils in last week's contest and another tight affair is to be expected on Thursday. HJK will be hoping that their title triumph over the weekend can spur them on to a positive result in Bulgaria, but we can see Ludogorets edging out their Finnish counterparts on home soil to boost their hopes of reaching the knockout rounds. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 37.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
38.07% ( -0.08) | 24.05% ( 0.02) | 37.89% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
