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Attendance: 59,902
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Lazio logo

1-1

Dzeko (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Acerbi (34')

Preview: Roma vs. Lazio - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Rome derby between Roma and Lazio at the Stadio Olimpico, including predictions, team news and lineups.

Roma welcome local rivals Lazio to the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday, with the away side looking to continue their impressive run of 11 Serie A wins in a row.

Lazio are now just six points adrift of table toppers Juventus with a game in hand, while Roma are a further seven points back in fourth.


Match Preview

Edin Dzeko in action for Roma on August 27, 2018© Reuters

Roma are enduring something of a disappointing campaign and, with just 20 rounds played, they are already out of the running for the Serie A title.

With two defeats from their last three matches, Roma have been vulnerable of late and have managed just five wins at home all season.

Injuries to key players have certainly played their role in recent weeks, with Roma having lost just twice in Serie A between August and December, but consecutive defeats on their return from the winter break have really damaged their hopes of securing Champions League football for next season.

A win would take them to within four points of Lazio, who sit third, but a defeat would leave them vulnerable to Atalanta and cut them further adrift from the pace setters.

Roma and Lazio drew in the reverse fixture in September, but the home side will face a very different Lazio side to the one that featured that day.

Simone Inzaghi's side are Serie A's form team and have won their past 11 league matches.

In total, they have scored 49 goals from just 19 league matches and Ciro Immobile has registered 23 goals from just 18 starts.

Having lost two of their opening five Serie A matches, they have not tasted defeat since and are the only team to have beaten Juve in the league this term.

A win against Roma would see Le Aquile keep pace with the league leaders, with Lazio also just two points behind second-placed Inter Milan.

Roma Serie A form: DWWLLW
Roma recent form (all competitions): WLLWWL

Lazio Serie A form: WWWWWW
Lazio recent form (all competitions): WWWWWL


Team News

Lazio winger Joaquin Correa in action in 2018-19© Reuters

Roma should be able to call on midfielders Brian Cristante and Javier Pastore for this match, with both players yet to appear for the club in 2020.

Winger Justin Kluivert remains a doubt, though, after he picked up a thigh injury against Juve in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday.

Davide Zappacosta, Amadou Diawara and Nicolo Zaniolo are all out though.

Joaquin Correa and Lucas Leiva should be fit to face Roma, with both players being monitored ahead of Sunday.

Danilo Cataldi and Ricardo Kishna will both miss the trip, although Kishna is closing in on a return.

Roma possible starting lineup:
Lopez; Santon, Mancini, Smalling, Spinazzola; Veretout, Cristante, Pellegrini; Under, Dzeko, Pastore

Lazio possible starting lineup:
Strakosha; Patric, Acerbi, Radu; Lazzari, Milinkovic-Savic, Leiva, Alberto, Lulic; Immobile, Correa


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Roma 1-2 Lazio

Lazio have been irresistible of late, scoring goals for fun and beating all teams in sight. With Roma going through a tricky spell, expect Lazio to compound Paulo Fonseca's issues with a third defeat since the start of the new year.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%).


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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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