Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 2
Sturm Graz

Immobile (45' pen.), Pedro (71')
Lazzari (27'), Immobile (45+3')
Lazzari (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boving (56', 83')
Ingolitsch (22'), Kiteishvili (27'), Affengruber (44'), Gorenc Stankovic (45+2'), Prass (74'), Ljubic (85'), Wuthrich (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-4 Lazio
Monday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Lazio are unbeaten in their last six Europa League home matches, and should keep that run going against bottom seeds Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz have proved they can compete in this group though, despite being battered by Feyenoord, and may pose Lazio a few problems throughout the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Sturm Graz
47.75% ( 0.06)	26.63% ( -0.1)	25.62% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.49% (

0.38)

56.51% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5% (

0.31)

77.5% (

-0.3)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.31% (

0.19)

23.7% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18% (

0.27)

57.82% (

-0.27)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

0.25)

37.61% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61% (

0.25)

74.39% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Lazio 47.75%

Sturm Graz 25.62%

Draw 26.63%

Lazio	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 25.62%