Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 0
Spezia

Mazzocchi (48')
Vilhena (19'), Daniliuc (81'), Nicola (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amian (19'), Kiwior (61'), Agudelo (81'), Holm (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 3-1 Brescia
Wednesday, October 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

We said: Salernitana 2-1 Spezia

Both sides will sense an opportunity to take maximum points, but as Spezia tend to travel so badly, Salernitana's greater goal threat can pay dividends. They have found the net at a rate of nearly two goals per game at the Arechi, so should be able to continue in that vein this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Salernitana.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
51.92% ( -0.13)	25.05% ( -0.01)	23.03% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.38% (

0.15)

52.62% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.73% (

0.12)

74.27% (

-0.13)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

20.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

0.01)

52.61% (

-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19% (

0.21)

37.8% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42% (

0.2)

74.58% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 51.91%

Spezia 23.03%

Draw 25.05%

Salernitana	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 51.91%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.03%