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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Fiorentina logo

AC Milan
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Diaz (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barak (28')
Barak (49'), Saponara (51'), Mandragora (63'), Jovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina

 Milan and Fiorentina have drawn only one of their last 14 Serie A meetings at San Siro, but another could follow this weekend, with the injury-hit home side starting to falter. Fresh from several successes on the road, a more resolute Viola are no longer pushovers when away from Florence - and they pose an attacking threat of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
44.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06) 25.78% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 29.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (0.048000000000002 0.05)51.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (0.041999999999998 0.04)72.88% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.046999999999997 0.05)22.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.074999999999996 0.07)56.41% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)31.61% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.75%
    Fiorentina 29.46%
    Draw 25.78%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.46%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina

AC Milan
78.5%
Draw
11.1%
Fiorentina
10.4%
135
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Fiorentina
2-3
AC Milan
Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')
Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
2-0
Fiorentina
Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')
Feb 22, 2020 7.45pm
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Pulgar (85' pen.)
Caceres (76')
Henrique (62')
Rebic (56')
Bennacer (12'), Calhanoglu (25'), Hernandez (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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