Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Fiorentina
Milan and Fiorentina have drawn only one of their last 14 Serie A meetings at San Siro, but another could follow this weekend, with the injury-hit home side starting to falter. Fresh from several successes on the road, a more resolute Viola are no longer pushovers when away from Florence - and they pose an attacking threat of their own.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.75% . A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8% .
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.89%) . The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result AC Milan Draw Fiorentina 44.75% ( 0.06) 25.78% ( -0.02) 29.46% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.03)
48.98% ( 0.05) 51.02% ( -0.05)
27.12% ( 0.04) 72.88% ( -0.05)
77.26% ( 0.05) 22.74% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.59% ( 0.07) 56.41% ( -0.08)
68.39% ( -0.01) 31.61% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.98% ( -0.01) 68.02% ( 0.01)
AC Milan 44.75%
Fiorentina 29.46%
Draw 25.78%
AC Milan Draw Fiorentina 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.75% 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78% 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.46%
How you voted: AC Milan vs Fiorentina
135
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-20 12:11:40
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