Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
3 - 0
Sassuolo

Aebischer (30'), Arnautovic (50'), Ferguson (78')
Soumaoro (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

After winning on each of their last three visits to Dall'Ara, Sassuolo can do so again; taking advantage of a side knocked for six on Wednesday. The Neroverdi have become a more disciplined defensive unit this term, while recovering some attacking options should see them break through their hosts' flimsy rearguard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Sassuolo
43.68% ( -0.99)	24.74% ( 0.21)	31.58% ( 0.78)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0.59)

45.62% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06% (

-0.56)

67.94% (

0.56)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.68)

20.95% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

-1.08)

53.69% (

1.08)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

0.22)

27.44% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

0.28)

62.93% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Bologna 43.68%

Sassuolo 31.58%

Draw 24.74%

Bologna	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.58%