Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
6 - 1
Bologna

Dzeko (26'), Dimarco (36', 48'), Martinez (42'), Calhanoglu (59' pen.), Gosens (76')
Martinez (35')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Lykogiannis (22')
Arnautovic (32'), Lucumi (33'), Medel (35'), Orsolini (54'), Sosa (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Torino
Sunday, November 6 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Bologna

Inter and Bologna have not drawn in Serie A since September 2017 - with the Nerazzurri winning six of the clubs' last nine meetings - and that trend should continue on Wednesday night. For all their flaws, the home side have been reliable on San Siro soil for many months now, so can take all their in-form visitors have to throw at them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 7.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Bologna
78.8% ( -0.21)	13.67% ( 0.15)	7.52% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.41% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.64% (

-0.5)

34.35% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.73% (

-0.57)

56.27% (

0.57)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.06% (

-0.15)

6.94% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.55% (

-0.4)

25.45% (

0.4)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.94% (

-0.2)

49.06% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16% (

-0.14)

84% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 78.79%

Bologna 7.52%

Draw 13.67%

Inter Milan	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 78.79%	1-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.67%	0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.52%