Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Sampdoria0 - 2Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Sampdoria
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Sampdoria 0-1 Napoli
After their attack was finally kept quiet for a full 90 minutes on Wednesday, surely Napoli will find the net at Marassi, given their hosts' defensive woes. Showing signs of improvement - albeit from a very low base - Samp can put up a stern resistance to the Serie A leaders but will still succumb in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
19.58% ( -0.3) | 21.47% ( -0.21) | 58.95% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.39% ( 0.52) | 41.6% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.99% ( 0.52) | 64% ( -0.53) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.01) | 34.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.3% ( -0.01) | 71.69% ( 0) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( 0.33) | 13.79% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.88% ( 0.64) | 41.12% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
Sampdoria 19.58%
Napoli 58.95%
Draw 21.46%
| Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 9.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.16% Total : 58.95% |
How you voted: Sampdoria vs Napoli
Sampdoria
15.0%Draw
8.8%Napoli
76.3%80
Form Guide
