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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Napoli logo

Sampdoria
0 - 2
Napoli


Murru (5'), Murillo (44'), Leris (72')
Rincon (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osimhen (19'), Elmas (82' pen.)
Jesus (53'), Zambo Anguissa (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Sampdoria
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 0-1 Napoli

After their attack was finally kept quiet for a full 90 minutes on Wednesday, surely Napoli will find the net at Marassi, given their hosts' defensive woes. Showing signs of improvement - albeit from a very low base - Samp can put up a stern resistance to the Serie A leaders but will still succumb in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawNapoli
19.58% (-0.298 -0.3) 21.47% (-0.212 -0.21) 58.95% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (0.519 0.52)41.6% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (0.52200000000001 0.52)64% (-0.527 -0.53)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.325 0.33)13.79% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88% (0.643 0.64)41.12% (-0.647 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 19.58%
    Napoli 58.95%
    Draw 21.46%
SampdoriaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 19.58%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.57% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 6.25% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.25% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.075 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.041 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.046 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.23% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 58.95%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Napoli

Sampdoria
15.0%
Draw
8.8%
Napoli
76.3%
80
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Sep 23, 2021 5.30pm
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli

Damsgaard (28'), Depaoli (77')
Osimhen (10', 50'), Fabian (39'), Zielinski (59')
Manolas (87')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Fabian (35'), Osimhen (87')
Manolas (24'), Koulibaly (46'), Lozano (78')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
Lozano (53'), Petagna (68')
Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (90+2'), Rui (90+2')
Jankto (20')
Thorsby (38'), Ekdal (52'), Colley (82'), Ramirez (90+2')
Feb 3, 2020 7.45pm
Sampdoria
2-4
Napoli
Quagliarella (26'), Gabbiadini (73' pen.)
Jankto (43'), Ekdal (47'), Ramirez (58'), Linetty (87')
Milik (3'), Elmas (16'), Demme (83'), Mertens (90')
Elmas (43'), Demme (90'), Politano (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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