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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Fiorentina logo

Torino
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Torino have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches after conceding a goal, such has been their lack of precision in the final third. Indeed, the last time they won without keeping a clean sheet was back in October, so if Fiorentina can find the net, these two mid-table teams could stay locked together on points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
26.4% (-0.41 -0.41) 26.13% (0.119 0.12) 47.47% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.68% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.71 -0.71)54.13% (0.716 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.598 -0.6)75.55% (0.60300000000001 0.6)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)35.64% (0.728 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.754 -0.75)72.41% (0.759 0.76)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.163 -0.16)22.8% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (-0.247 -0.25)56.51% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Torino 26.4%
    Fiorentina 47.46%
    Draw 26.13%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 12.01% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.46%

How you voted: Torino vs Fiorentina

Torino
53.5%
Draw
23.3%
Fiorentina
23.3%
43
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Jovic (65'), Ikone (90')
Karamoh (90+3')
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Fiorentina
0-1
Torino

Saponara (45'), Duncan (50')
Miranchuk (33')
Ricci (45'), Sanabria (88')
Jan 10, 2022 4pm
gameweek 21
Torino
4-0
Fiorentina
Singo (19'), Brekalo (23', 31'), Sanabria (58')
Djidji (30'), Vojvoda (55')

Martinez (13'), Julio (62')
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Fiorentina
2-1
Torino
Gonzalez (41'), Vlahovic (70')
Castrovilli (22'), Milenkovic (38'), Bonaventura (48'), Vlahovic (66')
Verdi (89')
Djidji (39'), Mandragora (45'), Buongiorno (65'), Aina (80'), Lukic (83')
Jan 29, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Torino
1-1
Fiorentina
Belotti (88')
Lyanco (37'), Belotti (72')
Ribery (67')
Prandelli (83'), Kouame (84'), Amrabat (90+2')
Castrovilli (61'), Milenkovic (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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