Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Torino have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches after conceding a goal, such has been their lack of precision in the final third. Indeed, the last time they won without keeping a clean sheet was back in October, so if Fiorentina can find the net, these two mid-table teams could stay locked together on points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Fiorentina
26.4% ( -0.41)	26.13% ( 0.12)	47.47% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

-0.71)

54.13% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

-0.6)

75.55% (

0.6)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

-0.72)

35.64% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

-0.75)

72.41% (

0.76)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-0.16)

22.8% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.49% (

-0.25)

56.51% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Torino 26.4%

Fiorentina 47.46%

Draw 26.13%

Torino	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.4%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.46%