Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 2Basel
The Match
Match Report
Basel come from a goal down to beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 0-2 FC Zurich
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Basel |
62.98% ( -0) | 19.95% ( 0) | 17.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.02) | 38.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.02) | 61.06% ( 0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( -0.01) | 11.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.01) | 36.89% ( 0.01) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.21% ( -0.01) | 72.78% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 62.98%
Basel 17.06%
Draw 19.95%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.06% Total : 62.98% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.06% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Basel
Fiorentina
82.5%Draw
10.5%Basel
7.0%143
Head to Head
