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Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Basel

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Basel

Cabral (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diouf (71'), Amdouni (90+2')
Nuhu (59'), Vogel (67'), Burger (72'), Ndoye (78')

The Match

Match Report

Basel come from a goal down to beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBasel
62.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 19.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)11.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.11% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)36.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 62.98%
    Basel 17.06%
    Draw 19.95%
FiorentinaDrawBasel
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Basel

Fiorentina
82.5%
Draw
10.5%
Basel
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Basel
2-2
Fiorentina
Suchy (40'), Elneny (74')
Safari (22'), Bjarnason (26'), Janko (45'), Suchy (65'), Zuffi (78')
Bernardeschi (23', 36')
Rodriguez (45'), Badelj (45'), Valero (75')
Roncaglia (26')
Sep 17, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Fiorentina
1-2
Basel
Kalinic (3')
Roncaglia (35')
Rodriguez (65')
Bjarnason (71'), Elneny (79')
Xhaka (34'), Suchy (57'), Janko (83')
rhs 2.0
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