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Winterthur
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Schutzenwiese
Basel

Winterthur
1 - 4
Basel

Ardaiz (20' pen.)
Burkart (6'), Gelmi (57'), Ramizi (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nuhu (7'), Males (12'), Amdouni (71'), Zeqiri (83')
Vogel (7'), Ndoye (33'), Diouf (45+1')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luzern 3-1 Winterthur
Thursday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Sion 1-2 Basel
Thursday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
FC WinterthurDrawBasel
26.85% (-0.399 -0.4) 24% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 49.14% (0.391 0.39)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.316 -0.32)45.02% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-0.305 -0.31)67.37% (0.30500000000001 0.31)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)30.44% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.558 -0.56)66.65% (0.557 0.56)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.033999999999992 0.03)18.41% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (0.056999999999995 0.06)49.56% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    FC Winterthur 26.85%
    Basel 49.15%
    Draw 24%
FC WinterthurDrawBasel
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 8.03% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.53% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 49.15%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 26
Basel
2-0
Winterthur
Augustin (25'), Fink (85')
Xhaka (21'), Diouf (78')

Arnold (12')
Oct 23, 2022 1.15pm
gameweek 13
Basel
3-1
Winterthur
Comas (2', 8'), Fink (58')
Comas (23')
Seiler (90+1')
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 1
Winterthur
1-1
Basel
Ramizi (3')
Goncalves (60'), Ramizi (60'), Corbaz (76')
Burger (70')
Millar (45+3'), Djiga (74'), Burger (90+1'), Ndoye (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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