Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31

Apr 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Schutzenwiese

Winterthur
1 - 4
Basel

Ardaiz (20' pen.)
Burkart (6'), Gelmi (57'), Ramizi (57')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nuhu (7'), Males (12'), Amdouni (71'), Zeqiri (83')
Vogel (7'), Ndoye (33'), Diouf (45+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between FC Winterthur and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 3-1 Winterthur
Thursday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Sion 1-2 Basel
Thursday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	Basel
26.85% ( -0.4)	24% ( 0.01)	49.14% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

-0.32)

45.02% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62% (

-0.31)

67.37% (

0.31)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

-0.47)

30.44% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-0.56)

66.65% (

0.56)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

0.03)

18.41% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43% (

0.06)

49.56% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 26.85%

Basel 49.15%

Draw 24%

FC Winterthur	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.85%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24%	1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.15%