We said: Basel 1-1 Nice
Neither side has felt the winning feeling much in recent weeks, and they may cancel each other out in what could be a cagey first leg.
Basel have done well at staying in ties in this competition, and they may have to do so again with Nice the slight favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.