UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 2
Nice

(Basel win 4-3 on aggregate)

Amdouni (26' pen., 71')
Lopez (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Moffi (38', 45+1')
Amraoui (17'), Todibo (24')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Basel
Saturday, April 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Nice 0-2 PSG
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Neither side has felt the winning feeling much in recent weeks, and they may cancel each other out in what could be a cagey first leg. Basel have done well at staying in ties in this competition, and they may have to do so again with Nice the slight favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Nice
35.54%	25.53%	38.93%

Both teams to score 55.78% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84%

48.16% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

70.32% (

-0)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

26.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

61.36% (

-0)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

24.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22%

58.78%

Score Analysis

Basel 35.54%

Nice 38.93%

Draw 25.52%

Basel	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.54%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.93%