Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel2 - 2Nice
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-1 Basel
Saturday, April 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, April 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Nice 0-2 PSG
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Basel 1-1 Nice
Neither side has felt the winning feeling much in recent weeks, and they may cancel each other out in what could be a cagey first leg. Basel have done well at staying in ties in this competition, and they may have to do so again with Nice the slight favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Nice |
| 35.54% | 25.53% | 38.93% |
Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% | 48.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0) | 70.32% ( -0) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0) | 26.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.64% ( 0) | 61.36% ( -0) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( 0) | 24.37% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.22% | 58.78% |
| Score Analysis |
Basel 35.54%
Nice 38.93%
Draw 25.52%
| Basel | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 8.08% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.93% |
How you voted: Basel vs Nice
Basel
23.3%Draw
29.3%Nice
47.4%116
