UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Huseyin Avni Aker

Trabzonspor
1 - 0
Basel

(Basel win 2-1 on aggregate)

Stryger Larsen (65')
Siopis (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Trabzonspor and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Trabzonspor
Sunday, February 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Basel 3-1 Sion
Saturday, February 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

We said: Trabzonspor 0-1 Basel

Despite both sides struggling in their respective domestic leagues, we predict that Basel will edge out Trabzonspor in a closely-contested clash at the Senol Gunes Sports Complex and subsequently take a slender lead into the second leg at St. Jakob-Park in a week's time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Basel had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Basel win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Trabzonspor in this match.

Result
Trabzonspor	Draw	Basel
54.22% ( 0.02)	23.21% ( 0)	22.56% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.74% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

-0.05)

45.52% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.14% (

-0.05)

67.85% (

0.05)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

-0.01)

16.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.41% (

-0.02)

46.59% (

0.02)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

-0.06)

34.29% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

-0.06)

70.99% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Trabzonspor 54.21%

Basel 22.56%

Draw 23.21%

Trabzonspor	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.21%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.21%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 22.56%