Swiss Super League | Gameweek 18

Jan 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
2 - 3
Luzern

Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Pelmard (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Diambou (42'), Dorn (65'), Chader (71'), Simani (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Basel
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Luzern
64.53% ( 0.04)	19.35% ( -0.1)	16.12% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 56.49% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.26% (

0.56)

37.74% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.02% (

0.6)

59.98% (

-0.6)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.97% (

0.17)

11.03% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.65% (

0.38)

35.35% (

-0.38)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5% (

0.42)

36.5% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.71% (

0.42)

73.29% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Basel 64.53%

Luzern 16.12%

Draw 19.35%

Basel	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.53%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.35%	1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 16.12%