MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 19:53:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Luzern

Basel
2 - 3
Luzern

Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Pelmard (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Diambou (42'), Dorn (65'), Chader (71'), Simani (83')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Basel
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
64.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 19.35% (-0.096 -0.1) 16.12% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.48 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.26% (0.56 0.56)37.74% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.02% (0.59800000000001 0.6)59.98% (-0.596 -0.6)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97% (0.17399999999999 0.17)11.03% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.65% (0.379 0.38)35.35% (-0.377 -0.38)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (0.417 0.42)36.5% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.42 0.42)73.29% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Basel 64.53%
    Luzern 16.12%
    Draw 19.35%
BaselDrawLuzern
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.88% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 64.53%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 16.12%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Luzern
0-2
Basel

Simani (3')
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Luzern
1-3
Basel
Cumic (90+1')
Domgjoni (47'), Schurpf (78')
Arthur (3'), Petretta (49'), Palacios (58')
Quintilla (34'), Pelmard (36'), Lopez (54')
Oct 3, 2021 3.30pm
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Stocker (68')
Frei (64'), Comert (90')
Wehrmann (78')
Sorgic (34'), Schulz (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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