UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
0 - 1
Basel

Kyeremeh (37'), Mamic (63'), Gorobsov (65'), Ljubisavljevic (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zeqiri (62')
Comas (58'), Lopez (64'), Burger (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between FK Zalgiris and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 0-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Basel

Last Six:

Last Game: Basel 5-1 Grasshopper
Sunday, September 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luzern	7	4	11
7	Basel	7	3	9
8	Lugano	8	-1	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Basel had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Basel
42.44% ( -0.03)	25.68% ( 0.01)	31.87% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37% (

-0.02)

49.63% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35% (

-0.02)

71.65% (

0.02)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.02)

23.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84% (

-0.04)

57.15% (

0.04)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.01)

29.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.01)

65.19% (

-0)

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 42.44%

Basel 31.88%

Draw 25.68%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.44%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.88%