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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Basel
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Trabzonspor

Basel
2 - 0
Trabzonspor

Amdouni (13'), Zeqiri (76')
Xhaka (60'), Males (81'), Ndoye (88'), Fink (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haspolat (15'), Stryger Larsen (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 2-2 Servette
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Trabzonspor

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Basel
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Basel 1-1 Trabzonspor

 Taking a slender advantage into their midweek trip to Switzerland, we predict that Trabzonspor will take their place in the hat for the draw of the last 16 of the UEFA Europa Conference League, which is scheduled to take place in Nyon, Switzerland, on February 24. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawTrabzonspor
48.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 27.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.06% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)41.01% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)63.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.018999999999991 0.02)16.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)47.05% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.036999999999992 0.04)27.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.046999999999997 0.05)63.22% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Basel 48.94%
    Trabzonspor 27.78%
    Draw 23.27%
BaselDrawTrabzonspor
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.78%

How you voted: Basel vs Trabzonspor

Basel
56.3%
Draw
19.7%
Trabzonspor
23.9%
71
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Trabzonspor
1-0
Basel
Stryger Larsen (65')
Siopis (38')
Dec 12, 2019 5.55pm
Group C
Basel
2-0
Trabzonspor
Widmer (22'), Stocker (72')

Parmak (17'), Asan (55')
Oct 3, 2019 8pm
Group C
Trabzonspor
2-2
Basel
Parmak (26'), Sosa (78')
Erdogan (23'), Parmak (45')
Widmer (20'), Okafor (80')
Xhaka (35'), Petretta (83'), Stocker (94')
rhs 2.0
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