MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:47:23| >> :600:397185:397185:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Braga

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Braga

Mandragora (37'), Saponara (58'), Cabral (83')
Dodo (39'), Gonzalez (56'), Biraghi (70'), Martinez (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Castro (16'), Djalo (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Braga

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Braga

 In reality, there is very little for either team to play for in this match given the extent of Fiorentina's four-goal lead. Braga will need to score at least once during the early exchanges to make things remotely interesting. As such, we can see the match petering out during the second half, with both managers likely to be content with avoiding defeat and preserving their players' legs ahead of important away matches in their respective domestic divisions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBraga
48.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.93%27.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)44.49% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)66.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)18.28% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.012 -0.01)49.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 48.95%
    Braga 27.12%
    Draw 23.92%
FiorentinaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.12%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Braga

Fiorentina
61.4%
Draw
15.8%
Braga
22.8%
101
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Braga
0-4
Fiorentina

Tormena (55')
Jovic (45+1', 60'), Cabral (79', 90')
Venuti (50'), Kouame (86'), Ikone (89')
rhs 2.0
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