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Benfica
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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Braga

Maritimo
1 - 2
Braga

Riascos (38')
Winck (78'), Costa (83')
Costa (83'), M. Gomes (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Banza (40'), Racic (45+3' pen.)
Gomes (78'), Magalhaes (83'), Sequeira (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Maritimo
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Maritimo 0-2 Braga

Following their hard-earned cup win over high-flying Benfica, Braga will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence. Jorge's side possess the firepower to get the job done at the Estadio do Maritimo and we are backing them to heap more misery on the out-of-sorts Maritimo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawBraga
18.39% (0.166 0.17) 22.17% (0.16 0.16) 59.44% (-0.324 -0.32)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52% (-0.418 -0.42)46.48% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-0.394 -0.39)68.76% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.09% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)75.81% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.244 -0.24)15.26% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06% (-0.463 -0.46)43.94% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 18.39%
    Braga 59.44%
    Draw 22.16%
MaritimoDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.63% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.39%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.16%
0-1 @ 11.21% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.61% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.44%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Braga

Maritimo
6.5%
Draw
2.2%
Braga
91.3%
46
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 6pm
Braga
5-0
Maritimo
Oliveira (9'), Medeiros (42'), Banza (57'), Ruiz (65'), Gomes (88')
Medeiros (20'), Silva (25'), Lainez (83')

Beltrame (45')
Jan 15, 2022 6pm
Aug 7, 2021 8.30pm
Maritimo
0-2
Braga

Junior (19'), Costa (59'), Saenz (82')
Silva (61'), Horta (69')
Josue de Souza Silva (36'), Martins (58'), Fransergio (81')
Apr 29, 2021 8.30pm
Maritimo
1-0
Braga
Joel (76')
Andrade (24'), China (42'), Winck (71'), Guitane (78'), Correa (90+6')

Elmusrati (63'), Horta (90+4')
Jan 7, 2021 9pm
Braga
2-1
Maritimo
Medeiros (34'), Horta (67')
Horta (29'), Fransergio (52'), Elmusrati (70')
Milson (77')
Rene (16'), Morais (50'), Junior (79'), Jean (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto6501123915
3Benfica6411124813
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
9Gil Vicente614167-17
10Casa Pia621358-37
11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
12AVS6213610-47
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Nacional6114412-84
17Estrela Amadora602439-62
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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