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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Estoril

Maritimo
1 - 0
Estoril

Rene (3')
Costa (27'), Val (41'), Afonso (57'), Liza (64'), de Lacerda (67'), Rene (83'), Costa (90')
Afonso (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lea Siliki (47'), Carvalho (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 1-1 Estoril Praia

 Maritimo will be disappointed that they were not able to build on that victory over Sporting Lisbon by beating Vizela, but will now relish the opportunity to drag Estoril into a relegation scrap by collecting all three points this weekend. The Canarinhos are looking for back-to-back wins for the first time in the Primeira Liga this season, but we feel they will have to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
MaritimoDrawEstoril Praia
33.11% (-0.747 -0.75) 27.63% (-0.374 -0.37) 39.26% (1.122 1.12)
Both teams to score 48.59% (0.97600000000001 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (1.283 1.28)57.12% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (1.014 1.01)77.99% (-1.013 -1.01)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (0.154 0.15)32.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.174 0.17)68.67% (-0.173 -0.17)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (1.28 1.28)28.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (1.583 1.58)64.09% (-1.583 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 33.1%
    Estoril Praia 39.26%
    Draw 27.62%
MaritimoDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.1%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.101 0.1)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Estoril

Maritimo
28.1%
Draw
46.9%
Estoril Praia
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
0-0
Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Estoril
2-1
Maritimo
Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')
Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')
Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Maritimo
1-3
Estoril
Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')
Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')
Apr 7, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Maritimo
Evangelista (30' pen.)
Fonseca (65'), Ailton (75'), Dankler (99')
Joel (52')
Ruben (11'), Bebeto (29'), Valente (74'), Joel (90'), Cleber (98')
Nov 26, 2017 4pm
Maritimo
0-0
Estoril

Zainadine (61')

Evangelista (88'), Filipe Boa Morte (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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