Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 7, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estádio de São Lúis
Farense2 - 0Maritimo
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between SC Farense and Maritimo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-0 Farense
Wednesday, November 30 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Wednesday, November 30 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Rio Ave
Thursday, December 1 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 1 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Maritimo |
45.92% ( 0.37) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 28.4% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
