MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:45:01| >> :60:339:339:
Sporting Lisbon
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Farense logo

Sporting Lisbon
6 - 0
Farense

Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)
Essugo (10'), Fernandes (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Goncalves (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 3-1 Farense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 SC Farense

Despite missing a number of players due to their participation at the World Cup, we expect Sporting to make light work of their opponents, potentially owing to a fast and clinical start from squad members looking to impress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
62.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 20.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 16.51% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.35% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)42.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.94% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.05% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.41% (0.012 0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.03% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75.75% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 62.9%
    SC Farense 16.51%
    Draw 20.57%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 62.9%
1-1 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.57%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.51%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Farense

Sporting Lisbon
73.7%
Draw
21.1%
SC Farense
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2021 9pm
Dec 19, 2020 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Farense
Sporar (90+1' pen.)
Tomas (26'), Palhinha (41'), Coates (68'), Santos (90+7')

Defendi (36'), Isidoro (43'), Nunes (75'), Mancha (83')
Defendi (86')
rhs 2.0
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