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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Basso (47')
Simao (3'), Opoku (27'), Ruiz (67'), De Arruabarrena (74'), Esgaio (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Inacio (30'), Santos (31'), Coates (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Arouca 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

 Looking at past results between the sides, Sporting Lisbon head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with all three points, having won each of their previous 12 encounters. The Leoes boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to take the positives from their draw at Tottenham and pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
15.75% (0.129 0.13) 20.53% (0.207 0.21) 63.72% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)43.91% (0.66 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.647 -0.65)66.3% (0.646 0.65)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (-0.23 -0.23)40.77% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (-0.209 -0.21)77.35% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.9% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)13.1% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.27% (-0.616 -0.62)39.73% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 15.75%
    Sporting Lisbon 63.71%
    Draw 20.53%
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.79% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.15% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.75%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.53%
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 7.47% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.71% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-4 @ 3.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.41% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.54% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 63.71%

How you voted: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon

Arouca
9.5%
Draw
9.5%
Sporting Lisbon
81.0%
42
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Arouca
Slimani (46', 52')
Essugo (26'), Coates (36')

Esgaio (15'), Simao (40'), Galovic (65'), Ruiz (85')
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Dabbagh (51')
Nunes (45+1'), Silva (63'), Araujo (85')
Nunes (16'), Santos (54')
Sarabia (45'), Paulinho (63'), Porro (63'), Braganca (77'), Tomas (90+3')
Apr 2, 2017 6pm
Arouca
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Mateus (9')
Costa de Brito (26'), Adilson (45'), Luis (80')
Ruiz (34'), Cesar (36')
Ruiz (23'), Castelo Podence (80'), Carvalho (88'), Patricio (94')
Nov 6, 2016 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Arouca
Dost (9', 69'), Campbell (55')
Martins (14'), Silva (44'), Campbell (53')

Adilson (27'), Costa (45')
Costa (50')
Mar 19, 2016 6.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Arouca
Gutierrez (16', 45'), Mario (19', 32'), Ruiz (60')
Gege (67')
Velasquez (22'), Rodrigues (63'), Gege (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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