Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.