Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Famalicao

Sarabia (6' pen.), Reis (63')
Feddal (45+3'), Porro (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alex (45+3'), Pickel (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Famalicao

Famalicao have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, picking up just one win from their last 10 games in all competitions. Sporting Lisbon, meanwhile, will be looking to put together another fine run of form having recently clinched the Taca da Liga title. We are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points and leave the visitors languishing at the wrong end of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Famalicao
71.07%	18.01%	10.92%

Both teams to score 46.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13%

43.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74%

66.26%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94%

11.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.6%

35.4%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.77%

48.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.6%

83.4%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 71.07%

Famalicao 10.92%

Draw 18.01%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 12.93% 1-0 @ 11.74% 3-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-1 @ 6.92% 4-0 @ 5.23% 4-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.52% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.62% Total : 71.07%	1-1 @ 8.56% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.68% Total : 18.01%	0-1 @ 3.89% 1-2 @ 3.12% 0-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.49% Total : 10.92%