Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
45.1% | 27.75% | 27.14% |
Both teams to score 45.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% | 59.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% | 79.91% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% | 26.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% | 61.49% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.01% | 37.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.24% | 74.76% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.99% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |