Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 27, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril
1 - 2
Arouca

Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Arouca

Both sides have struggled to get going in recent weeks and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting win. However, we predict the spoils will be shared at the sound of the full-time whistle with the hosts ending their losing streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Arouca
36.64%	27.14%	36.22%

Both teams to score 50.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08%

54.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79%

76.21%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17%

28.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.32%

64.68%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92%

29.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35%

64.99%

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 36.63%

Arouca 36.22%

Draw 27.13%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.22%