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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 27, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Arouca

Estoril
1 - 2
Arouca

Ba (6' og.)
Joaozinho (26'), Franco (67'), Geraldes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (89'), Kouassi (90+7')
Ba (54'), Moreira (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Arouca

Both sides have struggled to get going in recent weeks and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting win. However, we predict the spoils will be shared at the sound of the full-time whistle with the hosts ending their losing streak. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
36.64%27.14%36.22%
Both teams to score 50.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.08%54.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79%76.21%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17%28.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32%64.68%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92%29.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35%64.99%
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 36.63%
    Arouca 36.22%
    Draw 27.13%
Estoril PraiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.63%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.22%

How you voted: Estoril vs Arouca

Estoril Praia
75.3%
Draw
15.3%
Arouca
9.4%
85
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
Gameweek 1
Arouca
0-2
Estoril

Andres Caballero (88')
Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')
May 21, 2017 6pm
Estoril
4-2
Arouca
Claro (6'), Carlinhos (19'), Gomes (30'), Tocantins (76')
Dankler (39'), Yarchuk (79'), Basso (91')
Goiano (1', 31')
Costa (5'), Mateus (51'), Gonzalez (82'), Adilson (84')
Basto (41')
Jan 13, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
2-1
Estoril
Adilson (80'), Kuka (93')
Kuka (93')
May 9, 2016 8pm
Estoril
1-1
Arouca
Diakhite (85')
Esiti (54'), Taira (92')
Luis (39' og.)
Jan 6, 2016 4pm
Arouca
1-0
Estoril
Simao (20' pen.)
Jailson (30'), Coelho (35'), Bernardes (48'), Valente (81'), Rodrigues (83')

Anderson (19'), Diego (42')
Diego (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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