Belenenses1 - 4Sporting Lisbon
We said: Belenenses 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon will head into the game in sky-high confidence having clinched the Taca da Liga title against rivals Benfica last time out. They are currently on a 12-game unbeaten run against Belenenses and we are backing them to extend their dominance and heap more misery on the floundering hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 79.85%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.26%) and 0-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 6.89% | 13.26% | 79.85% |
| Both teams to score 45.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.06% | 34.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.07% | 56.93% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.83% | 51.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.54% | 85.46% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.15% | 6.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.78% | 25.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 2.35% 2-1 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.43% Total : 6.89% | 1-1 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 3.51% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.63% Total : 13.26% | 0-2 @ 12.6% 0-3 @ 11.26% 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-4 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 7.55% 1-4 @ 5.06% 0-5 @ 4.05% 1-5 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-6 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.69% 1-6 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 79.84% |
