Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
52.55% | 24.44% | 23% |
Both teams to score 51.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.76% | 50.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% | 72.19% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.92% | 19.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.31% | 50.68% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.5% | 36.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.71% | 73.29% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 1% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.8% Total : 23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |