Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
1 - 0
Braga

Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Braga boasts a superior record in the recent meetings between the sides and will be seeking to maintain their run of results against the hosts. However, Porto appear simply unstoppable at the moment and we predict they will claim all three points and continue their impressive title challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Braga
58.21%	21.31%	20.48%

Both teams to score 58.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.44%

39.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.09%

61.9%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.65%

13.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.76%

40.24%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12%

32.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55%

69.45%

Score Analysis

Porto 58.21%

Braga 20.48%

Draw 21.31%

Porto	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 6.64% 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 3.34% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.49% Total : 58.21%	1-1 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 5.47% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.48%