Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Sep 19, 2020 at 9pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
3 - 1
Braga

Oliveira (45+1'), Telles (45+4' pen., 89' pen.)
Oliveira (68')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Castro (20')
Viana (11'), Esgaio (60'), Horta (72'), Carmo (78')
Luis (75')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Braga
51.38%	23.29%	25.33%

Both teams to score 57.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92%

43.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52%

65.48%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.17%

16.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.17%

46.82%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4%

30.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17%

66.83%

Score Analysis

Porto 51.38%

Braga 25.33%

Draw 23.28%

Porto	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.38%	1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 6.44% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.33%