Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.