Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Jul 4, 2020 at 9.30pm UK

Braga Municipal

Braga
4 - 0
Aves

Fonte (49'), Horta (54'), Ruiz (83'), Paulinho (90+3')
Horta (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mangas (52')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Desportivo das Aves.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Desportivo das Aves
71.91%	17.24%	10.85%

Both teams to score 48.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5%

40.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12%

62.88%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07%

9.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.13%

32.87%

Desportivo das Aves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.85%

46.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.16%

81.84%

Score Analysis

Braga 71.9%

Desportivo das Aves 10.85%

Draw 17.24%

Braga	Draw	Desportivo das Aves
2-0 @ 12.22% 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 9.41% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.81% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.63% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.9%	1-1 @ 8.19% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.24%	0-1 @ 3.55% 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.85%