Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.