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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Braga

Benfica
6 - 1
Braga

Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
40.32%26.06%33.63%
Both teams to score 53.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54%64.46%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 40.32%
    Braga 33.63%
    Draw 26.05%
BenficaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
67.9%
Draw
11.3%
Braga
20.8%
53
Head to Head
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 24
Braga
0-2
Benfica

Fransergio (27')
Fransergio (39')
Silva (45+2'), Seferovic (56')
Otamendi (16'), Goncalves (45+1'), Pizzi (65'), Weigl (70')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
2-1
Benfica
Ruiz (28'), Tormena (59')
Castro (20'), Sequeira (34'), Esgaio (66'), Fransergio (90+4')
Pizzi (45' pen.)
Todibo (38'), Weigl (52'), Jardel (83')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 7
Benfica
2-3
Braga
Seferovic (68', 86')
Goncalves (79')
Medeiros (38'), Moura (50', 63')
Medeiros (11'), Esgaio (26'), Sequeira (56')
Feb 15, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
0-1
Braga

Dias (45'), Taarabt (56')
Palhinha (45')
Carmo (21'), Palhinha (35'), Luis (45'), Esgaio (54'), Wallace (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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