Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Braga had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Braga |
60.49% | 21.22% | 18.29% |
Both teams to score 54.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% | 42.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.12% | 64.88% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% | 13.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.25% | 40.75% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% | 36.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.37% | 73.64% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 10% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 6.62% 4-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.49% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 5.01% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.01% 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |